No Doubt you're all aware that we
had a Shakespeare Week a week ago. At least there was one at Brunei London
University
www.brunel.ac.uk/news-and-events/events/Shakespeare-Week
And, not surprisingly, there was another modest debate. This time between Non-Stratfordian Prof. Ros Barber, and Stratfordian Prof. Alan H. Nelson. It's the only event I've been able to watch so far from the event and it can be a bit difficult to follow without some visual aids. But there was just enough for the audience, modest though it was, to give a vote as to who won the debate. And the interesting thing this time was that the vote for the non-Stratfordian position was about twice the size of that for the traditional belief. If this audience was somewhat representative of the London area Shakespeareans, then it would appear to be that the birthplace of the Shakespeare plays (not necessarily that of the author) now primarily supports the position of authorship doubt.
www.brunel.ac.uk/news-and-events/events/Shakespeare-Week
And, not surprisingly, there was another modest debate. This time between Non-Stratfordian Prof. Ros Barber, and Stratfordian Prof. Alan H. Nelson. It's the only event I've been able to watch so far from the event and it can be a bit difficult to follow without some visual aids. But there was just enough for the audience, modest though it was, to give a vote as to who won the debate. And the interesting thing this time was that the vote for the non-Stratfordian position was about twice the size of that for the traditional belief. If this audience was somewhat representative of the London area Shakespeareans, then it would appear to be that the birthplace of the Shakespeare plays (not necessarily that of the author) now primarily supports the position of authorship doubt.
And to the argument that such an event would most likely have more Shakespeare Authorship doubters in attendance--my thoughts are as follows:
That’s certainly a possibility. It might even appear
to be obvious or ‘common sense’. Remember though that it once longed seemed
obvious that the Sun, planets, and stars all revolved around a stationary
Earth. And as Shakespeare said, there are “Things hid & bard (you mean)
from common sense”.
So what you would have then is something we would call an
hypothesis: That the cause of the debate vote being significantly in favor of
the non-Stratfordian position is that the majority of the event attendees were
non-Stratfordians to begin with. And that the cause of that condition is the
premise that significantly more non-Stratfordians than Stratfordians attend
such debates.
So what we can try to do off hand is to look at any
currently available evidence for either the hypothesis or its premise. And then
use what logic we can to narrow what is or isn’t rational, or to what extent
some hypothesis or assertion stands up to scrutiny.
There have been previous debates. What can we learn from
them? The most recent one prior to this
one took place on September 21, 2017 and was between Sir Jonathan Bate and
Alexander Waugh at the Emmanuel Centre, London. It had been quite well
publicized it seemed to me. Nearly the whole auditorium was full. At the end of
the debate there was a vote and it seemed to me, as I recall, that there was
not a significant difference between those voting for or against the
Stratfordian position. As I recall,
another vote was taken of those that didn’t have a position to begin
with, or that had changed their position as a result of the debate. And, as I
recall, it seemed to the emcee or hand counts, that a slightly larger, probably
not significant, number of these individuals voted for the non-Stratfordian
position.
In Oct. 2013 in Toronto, Ontario during their own Stratford
Shakespeare Festival there was a playful debate in the form of a mock trial. And again, from my
recollection of seeing the video of it, it was quite well attended and my
impression was that it was most likely that only a small minority had any
interest in the authorship question. Not very scientific, but my experience has
been that most people are not interested in the authorship question even though
they enjoy attending and/or reading the Shakespeare works.
What these two cases at least seem reasonably to prove is
that authorship doubters are not necessarily more likely to attend such a
debate than non-doubters. Nor are they more likely to attend such a debate than
those with some interest in the Shakespeare works generally but who are not
especially interested in such an event.
On the other hand the most recent debate, though part of a
larger Shakespeare event as in Toronto, was held at Brunei University where
there is or has been a Shakespeare Authorship degree program. That may
reasonably have inclined some more individuals with an interest in the
authorship question to attend, perhaps due to some previous connection with the
program at the school. Or possibly just because more students and faculty there
would be aware that there was such a program at the school. But then, if such attendance was due to the
second factor (awareness of the program) than the first (some personal
connection or involvement with the program) then another hypothesis arises—that
merely a greater awareness of a serious debate about this historical question
increases an interest in it along with a non-committal stance, and that this
itself led to a greater attendance of non-Stratfordian or at least
Shakespeareans or intellectually inclined persons now having an open mind on
the authorship question.
A good hypothesis nonetheless and one that even more debates
may help settle!